A lot to go over Weather Watchers!!

The Storm Prediction Center has just UPGRADED the SEVERE THREAT to Moderate. 

As we always say don’t focus on the colors on the maps and think just because you are not in the Significant area that you have nothing to worry about- that is WRONG THINKING!!

Many of you probably notice how cool and cloudy it is and think – Tornadoes??- no way.  

TODAY IS NOT ONE OF THOSE DAYS!!

A VOLATILE SEVERE WEATHER DAY IS VERY POSSIBLE….

These are what we look at to help us forecast the potential forbTornadoes on a day like today. This Model takes into account many different ingredients and then places the threat in the appropriate location. 

   

   

Notice that the Tornado threat gets more significant the later in the day we get.  The last image moves the threat further to the West in South Central KS – this is at 10PM this evening- which is why we are VERY CONCERNED with this set-up. 

We should see 2 Rounds of storms- the first one could initiate between 1-3pm – the main threats will be Large Hail – these Storms should form East of I-135… We will keep you posted on what we are seeing…

Here is current radar at 12:25 pm

  

The secondary round of Storms that we anticipate developing early this evening will be the one that we are most concerned with. These will be the Storms capable of Tornadoes and Large Hail with ANY storm…the area where we expect the Strongest Tornado Potential will be East of a line from Medicine Lodge to Wichita to Kansas City KS….>EF2-EF5 Tornadoes are possible in those areas.

 

Thank you for your patience- we wanted to provide you with the most UP TO DATE and CORRECT information possible.

Look for our LIVE FEED later today.  www.SevereWeather.US as well as the most CURRENT and UP TO DATE Watches and Warnings!

As I end the post- the sky is beginning to lighten-I have a feeling the Warm front is to our South moving N…again- this just leads to greater instability.

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Team Weather Watcher