Who has the potential for rain over the next few days….and how much…
Hello Weather Watchers, thanks for checking in!
Many of our farmers are wondering about what we are thinking and we also have the Kansas State Fair that begins in Hutchinson next Friday.
Remember we provide daily, weekly and quarterly Weather Intelligence reports. That is how we keep our public blog and storm chasing reports free. So please consider Weather Watchers when you need accurate long term forecasting.
Ok, now on to the weather.
Just after 7pm we had some Thunderstorms with fairly significant winds being reported in North Central Kansas:
Please let us know what you are experiencing
You should be seeing some SLCs (Scary looking clouds) moving in to Concordia and Belleville from the West and Southwest.
The reason for these storms tonight is a almost stationary front:
This front won’t move much but will drift slightly Southeast and will trigger Showers and Storms over the next couple days. The front will then wash out and a piece of energy ( area of Low Pressure ) will begin to begin to strengthen from the West sending out pieces of energy towards the plains that will be the trigger for Showers and Storms ahead of a stronger cold from late week into next weekend.
We are going to show you these rainfall totals but please remember these totals depend on where storms form. HEAVY RAIN will be a BIG FACTOR AS THE LOW will draw deep tropical moisture North into the Central Plains.
**FLOODING COULD BECOME AN ISSUE AND WE WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED IN THE CENTRAL KANSAS**
Microbursts will also be an issue-
Severe Storms should be limited-
GFS Precip forecast:
Latest guidance from Hydrologic forecast package shows FLASH FLOODING a real risk over North Central Kansas.
Please keep us posted on your rain totals.
We will provide DAILY updates during this event.
***Our pattern is morphing into the new pattern- the cycle times have definitely changed.
****First Hurricane of the season will likely form this next week in the Gulf- stay tuned as to its potential track and intensity. The models are all over the place.
We forecast that this would occur close to 6 months ago to our clients….is this amazing or what??
MOST RECENT RADAR